Study: PGC/PFBC will run out of funds by 2034

The Rodfather

Well-known member
Joined
Jun 25, 2023
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297
City
Palmyra, PA
I read the GoErie piece about the PFBC and PGC staring down a pretty serious long-term budget problem, and I think we're focusing on the wrong part of the problem.

The article talks about combining services, eliminating duplication, sharing resources, etc. Fine. I'm all for government finding ways to stop spending money twice for the same thing. But if we're really going to have an honest conversation about the PFBC's finances, somebody needs to put the hatchery and stocking program squarely on the table.

And before anybody gets their feathers ruffled, no, I'm not saying eliminate stocking.

I fish Pennsylvania. I know what stocked trout mean to a lot of anglers, and I understand the economic value of the program. But let's not pretend this is some little line item we're talking about.

PFBC is putting roughly 3.2 million adult trout into Pennsylvania waters every year, plus fingerlings and fish produced through the cooperative nursery system.

That's a hell of an operation. And the cost isn't just the fish. It's the hatchery buildings. The employees. Fish food. Electricity. Water systems. Maintenance. Equipment. Trucks. Fuel. Oxygen. Transportation. Stocking crews.

Add it all up and we're talking about a very expensive machine whose job is to produce fish and put them in the water.

Here's where it gets really interesting.

PFBC's own numbers have shown for years that the trout/salmon permit doesn't come close to paying for the trout program. In 1991, trout/salmon permits covered about 57% of the cost of raising trout.

By 2014, that had fallen to just 46% of the cost of running the trout hatchery program, despite the fact that PFBC was collecting more money from those permits. PFBC projected that percentage could fall to 30% without changes.

In other words, the trout permit wasn't even paying for half of the hatchery program.

The rest was increasingly being picked up by general fishing-license revenue.

So when somebody buys a regular fishing license but doesn't buy a trout permit, some of that general license money is effectively helping support a very expensive trout hatchery program.

That's where I think the conversation gets interesting.

Because when we talk about PFBC's financial problems, the immediate answer seems to be, "We need more revenue." Maybe we do. But before I reach deeper into my wallet, I'd like to know exactly where the money is going.

What is the fully loaded cost of a stocked trout?

Not just feed and production. Everything. Hatchery personnel. Buildings. Utilities. Maintenance. Equipment. Transportation. Fuel. Stocking labor. Capital costs.

What's the real number?

Then let's ask whether we're getting a good return on that investment.

Are we putting fish in places that actually need them?

Are we stocking waters that already have good wild-trout populations?

Would some of that money do more for Pennsylvania fishing if it went toward habitat, stream restoration, wild-trout management, access, or protecting the resource that produces fish naturally? Maybe the answer is no.

Maybe the current stocking program really is the best use of the money. But shouldn't we at least know?

That's the part that bothers me.

PFBC is, by charter, user-funded agency. There isn't supposed to be some giant pot of General Fund money waiting to bail them out. The people buying licenses, trout permits, boat registrations, etc. are supposed to be paying the bills.

So if the agency is telling those same people that the cupboard is getting bare, I think we're entitled to look at both sides of the ledger.

Yes, find administrative efficiencies.

Yes, look at what PFBC and PGC can share.

But don't just look for savings around the edges while ignoring one of the most expensive programs PFBC operates. And this isn't an argument for shutting hatcheries down and dumping the trout program. It's an argument for asking whether we're getting the best fishing bang for the buck.

We've been doing things a certain way for a long time. That doesn't automatically mean it's still the smartest way to spend today's dollars. If the answer is that we need to spend $X million producing and stocking millions of trout every year, fine.

Show us the numbers.

Show us what the trout permit actually pays for.

Show us what general license revenue is subsidizing.

Show us the fully loaded cost per fish.

Then let anglers decide whether that's the best use of their money. Because if we're going to have the conversation about raising license fees and asking Pennsylvania anglers to pay more, and potentially merging with PGC to cut more cost, then we ought to have the equally important conversation about whether we're spending what we already have in the best possible way.

The budget problem isn't simply that PFBC doesn't have enough money. It's also that PFBC has some very expensive programs. And when the agency's own numbers have shown that the trout permit historically covered less than half the cost of the hatchery program, I'd say the hatchery/stocking machine is the 800-pound trout in the room that deserves a whole lot more scrutiny.

The Rodfather
Engagement Czar and Conservation Chair
Dauphin County League of Chubsmen
 
Dear Rodfather,

I don't disagree with anything you have written. But I think you are forgetting that you are in Pee-Aye. A couple two tree deer and multiple limits of stocker trout are literally a birthright expected by everyone who dropped license money.

Do I think the hatchery program should end? The answer is no. But in the face of declining interest in fishing and the outdoors in general it definitely needs some serious modifications. If that means more people decline to buy licenses, I'm 100% on board with that. Let the paying customers run the program.

I think we really need better efforts applied to the self- sustaining fisheries we do have. I know this board is fairly well trout-centric but there are other fish in the sea. Warm-water fishing is the predominant fishing opportunity near me, and it pretty much is ignored by the fishing public and the PFBC both, save for the Susquehanna and Juniata Rivers. That concept extends across much of the State as well. If a 66-year-old kid like me can't catch a sunnie as big as his 8-year-old palm, there is something wrong.

I'd like the PFBC to put more effort into providing opportunities for the catch and eat crowd. Heck, I'd keep sunnies if it didn't take 25 to make a meal! Money will need to be expended to improve and enhance many, even most of the State Park and PFBC lakes to do that. Many need dam work done, and that is expensive.

I really don't see a way for the Game Commission and PFBC if they are combined to generate enough interest in today's population to keep interest in either pursuit going. Meat hunters will always hunt, and meat fishers will always fish, but the Gen Pop is waiting for AI to show them the way.

Regards,

Tim Murphy 🙂
 
all good points about the cliff. One additional thought. the revenue from the permit should not be expected to cover all costs of trout production the combined license fee (or a good portion) should be considered. I bet there are numbers (if the website was not so poorly organized) of people who only fish for trout versus never fish for trout etc. If trout stocking opportunities are greatly reduced or eliminated how many licenses would not be bought. the differential between trout stamps and licenses might be an underestimate because some get the license, not the stamp but still fish for trout.
My best guess the biggest problem is shortfalls or contributions to pensions for employees. If any govt wants to get their house in order they must transition from pensions to savings plans.
 
To me, the appropriate amount of fish to stock should be determined by a data model.

In 2003ish, PFBC reduced trout stocking by over 20%. At that time, good data models were developed and tested.

like this....

https://research.fs.usda.gov/download/treesearch/21141.pdf

Admittedly, I was surprised by this study. It found no statistical relationship between amount of fish stocked and amouny of license sales! (it does note limited data). License price increase of $10 would decrease amount of license sold by 14%, but would increase license revenue by 26%.

A study like the one I linked should be completed by a non-biased professional analyst. The findings should be implemented.

It is a simple data model to complete with not many issues (lifetime senior license, short term license).

It seems all the needed data exists, but is found at different sources. Like many data projects, collecting and cleaning the data would be the most time consuming portion of the project.
 
I get the stamp but rarely fish for trout. I’m forced to buy the stamp because they stock trout in some of the places I fish for non trout. I agree, trout are the problem and way too much money is being spent on them. I’m all for eliminating stocking, hatcheries, employees, and the trout stamp.

I haven’t read the study yet but from news accounts it recommends the merging of all law enforcement officers to a combined staffing level of 115 less officers then the current uncombined levels. This is on top of the already cut 150 or so deputy wardens. That’s a pretty hefty cut in law enforcement. I have to ask why the commissions are hell bent on keeping license fees so ridiculously low while drastically cutting enforcement. I get labor costs are the easiest of the big money cuts but man I would rather see massive cuts to joke the joke that trout fishing in PA has become.
 
I have to ask why the commissions are hell bent on keeping license fees so ridiculously low while drastically cutting enforcement.
^I agree 100%.

I would rather money be spent ENFORCING the law and regs. Look at what's happened to access on the little J due to unruly fishermen. Look at what's happened in Erie due to snagging, littering, and dropping steamers in peoples' yard at 3:00a.m. Enough is enough. Prosecute and hold accountable the bad apples (who the majority of times don't even have a license to begin with).

There have been enough studies done to know that stocking over Class A trout populations is detrimental, but yet we keep spending to study the same thing over and over and harming the NATURAL resource in the process.

I will pay for the license because fishing is how I choose to spend my free time, but all of the budget efficiency in the world doesn't benefit the license holders if there is no one enforcing the rules that are put in place for the greater good.
 
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