If they wanted to turn it into a meat hole destination like it was when I was a kid, they could buy and stock trout from a commercial hatchery. For 1,000 trout of better than average size, the cost would be somewhere between $11,500 and $14,500 (you can get the breakdown at the
Musky Trout Hatchery website).
At $14,500 for 1,000 trout in the 14-15 inch range, you'd need to sell nearly 200 fishing passes (192) to break even. Musky also charges a delivery fee that varies based on distance from the hatchery and fuel costs, and I'm not figuring that into my math here. Allenberry also probably would want to add in a few trout in the 19 to 23 inch range, and those cost $70 to $90
PER FISH), so that's why I'm saying 200 passes, but it could be more.
If you scale back a little bit and go with 1,000 trout in the 11 to 12 inch, range, you're talking about $6,600, which brings the number of daily permits you need to sell to break even down to 88.
If you presume the most interest will come in March, April, May and early June, you're talking about 122 days (including 34 weekend days and two federal holidays, but also including a fair number of rainy and miserable days) when you're likely (1) to still have a significant percentage of your stocked fish in the creek and (2) general interest among a certain cohort of anglers who want to fly fish for medium to large stocked trout.
For purposes of this discussion, let's presume they can sell an
average of three passes a day at $75 each for that full 122-day span (some weekend days with a dozen sold, some days when no one wants to fish), then you collect $22,450 for net revenue of $12,450.
Is this a viable business addition?
That depends. Millport Conservancy over on Lititz Run stocked a bunch of big trout each spring for their kids fishing day and paid for it by selling annual fishing passes for the stream, which I believe now cost in the range of $60 a pop. The passes always sell out, which is an indication to me that there's a market for this kind of thing. But the Millport passes are good for the whole season (not a single day), and the creek is a relatively steady limestoner in terms of temperature so the fish are more likely to be around into the autumn, making it more of a bargain than $75 for a day on the Breeches.
But there are no guarantees. Millport seems to be struggling with recent big increases in the price of live trout (roughly doubled over the past five or six years), and big trout are especially expensive. Plus early post stocking flooding at Millport washed a lot of fresh stockers downstream.
The Yellow Breeches is much less reliable in terms of its ability to hold trout for a full season because:
- It warms up pretty bad starting as early as late may and any stocked rainbows (especially) are likely to move.
- It's a flood prone creek and a flood right after stocking can easily carry a few thousand dollars worth of trout down into the open water just downstream.
- It's big enough where trout can pretty easily move up and out of the private water and into the cooler waters of the Children's Lake run / Boiling Springs Creek, which will soon be open water.
Here's where it gets a little bit interesting from a business standpoint. If you can get 200 or so guys to cover the cost of trout stocking through the day pass system, then you have big trout, already paid for, for your fly fishing overnight guests (at no extra cost beyond that of the room) and for those fly fishing classes they have on offer (again, with no extra costs to the person paying for the class).
Long and short of it: expect this to become a pay-to-fish place where day-pass guys are paying the freight for overnight guests and fly fishing students to cast over medium to big trout.
It's a damn shame because that spot as a public access fly fishing destination, flawed though it was, was hard-won thanks to the efforts of the old Limestone Legends generation.