pcray1231
Well-known member
That looks like pretty "normal" to me, as far as temperature, but we are running really high on precip. Don't know which effects things more, just know that the bugs are, in fact, later than last year at this point.
As for Jack. Yes, it is the length of daylight as the main driver. And if we had a cold spell, the bugs would still happen. Might change the timing a little, obviously something changes the timing a little. What we're trying to figure out is what is the factor that moves em up a week or down a week? Is it water temp (in which case amount of precip is a MAJOR factor, moreso than air temp)? Is it cloudiness (net effect of shortening the days and making emergences later)? Is it muddiness of the water (same effect as cloudiness)? I don't know, but it'd be interesting to keep some detailed data.
But I have observed that it tends to coincide with the plants. If the trees and flowers are late, the hatches will be late as well. Plants are also primarily driven by day length. Leads me to believe its not water temp or muddiness, but something external to the water. i.e. temperature or cloudiness.
If I'm a betting man, my money is on cloudiness which makes the difference. Clouds effectively shorten the day length. Last year was a dry spring, with lots of sunny days, hence earlier emergence. This year has been incredibly wet, which probably equates with more cloudy days, hence later emergences.
And this could all change on a dime. This week is supposed to be pretty nice, which could really move things up next week. Then the next week could be cloudy all week, and move things back, etc....
As for Jack. Yes, it is the length of daylight as the main driver. And if we had a cold spell, the bugs would still happen. Might change the timing a little, obviously something changes the timing a little. What we're trying to figure out is what is the factor that moves em up a week or down a week? Is it water temp (in which case amount of precip is a MAJOR factor, moreso than air temp)? Is it cloudiness (net effect of shortening the days and making emergences later)? Is it muddiness of the water (same effect as cloudiness)? I don't know, but it'd be interesting to keep some detailed data.
But I have observed that it tends to coincide with the plants. If the trees and flowers are late, the hatches will be late as well. Plants are also primarily driven by day length. Leads me to believe its not water temp or muddiness, but something external to the water. i.e. temperature or cloudiness.
If I'm a betting man, my money is on cloudiness which makes the difference. Clouds effectively shorten the day length. Last year was a dry spring, with lots of sunny days, hence earlier emergence. This year has been incredibly wet, which probably equates with more cloudy days, hence later emergences.
And this could all change on a dime. This week is supposed to be pretty nice, which could really move things up next week. Then the next week could be cloudy all week, and move things back, etc....